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2024-12-13 05:04:04

Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.Therefore, for the A-share market, the economic data released by the Bureau of Statistics this morning can only cause psychological impact, and can't bring greater destructive power to the whole market. This is the reason why the market dived in the middle of the market, but eventually it basically leveled off!It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?


Now, if you look back at Friday's breakthrough in the broader market and the Xinhua News Agency's announcement over the weekend, you should have a new understanding of the next market!Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.


To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.

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